The role of mobility, transportation systems and adaptive behavior on disease dynamics:
from homeland security to disease invasion
Dr. Carlos Castillo-Chavez
The speed and quality of public information play a critical role in the selection of policies aimed at mitigating the impact of disease dynamics through the deliberate disruption of the cohesiveness of social networks with the help of controlled measures that include "local social distancing," travel restrictions, closing of schools and public places, and more. Selected challenges posed by the dynamics of emergent and re-emergent diseases will be formulated with the help of mathematical models. We will first discuss the pioneering modeling work that physicians-theoreticians Ross, Kermack and McKendrick carried nearly a century ago. The lecture will conclude with the analyses of epidemics that include the most recent H1N1 pandemic followed by a discussion of the challenges posed to homeland security with emphasis on the deliberate release of biological agents in public venues.
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